BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 27 Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 115.56
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-5)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 118.42 3 38 1A 14 ( 10- 3) Arizona 2.85 * -37.85
2 09/09/2023 Away L 108.35 22 37 1B 14 ( 7- 5) North Dakota -7.21 -7.79
3 09/16/2023 Home L 87.15 36 50 1B 64 ( 2- 9) Utah Tech -28.41 14.41
4 09/23/2023 Home W * 141.40 28 14 1B 5 ( 13- 1) Montana 25.84 -11.84
5 09/30/2023 Away L * 118.63 30 31 1B 21 ( 8- 5) Sacramento St 3.07 -4.07
6 10/07/2023 Away W * 133.67 27 10 1B 31 ( 6- 5) Weber St 18.10 -1.10
7 10/14/2023 Home L * 85.63 21 45 1B 37 ( 5- 6) Portland St -29.93 5.93
8 10/28/2023 Home W * 130.27 38 21 1B 28 ( 7- 4) UC-Davis 14.71 2.29
9 11/04/2023 Away L * 110.98 21 45 1B 4 ( 8- 4) Montana St -4.58 -19.42
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 114.77 28 7 1B 84 ( 0- 11) Northern Colorado -0.79 21.79
11 11/18/2023 Away W * 121.92 49 42 1B 33 ( 4- 7) Eastern Washington 6.35 0.65
Averages 115.56 27.5 30.9
Best game: 141.40 = 14 point win over Montana
Worst game: 85.63 = 24 point loss to Portland St
Team stdev: 17.45